
IT'S EVERYWHERE:
THE Affordable Housing Crisis on the Cape
Over the past seven years, five major studies have documented the affordable housing crisis on the entire Cape. While the Outer Cape is the hardest hit, the rest of the Cape has not been spared.
Across the Cape, employment is declining, working class families are leaving, retail is faltering and GDP growth is minimal. Each study comes to a singular conclusion: affordable housing has disappeared across the Cape. Where once the Cape had a thriving working class, today an estimated 829 working families leave the Cape every year. Where once, the Cape had ample rental opportunities, today the rental vacancy rate is .5%, making rentals almost impossible to find (and most of the available rentals are geared toward high income individuals.) Where once the Cape was an affordable place to buy a home, today nearly 30 percent of the Cape workforce commutes from across the bridges.
According to the Cape Cod Commission, the percentage of affordable housing on the entire Cape is 3.9%, far below the minimum 10% set by Massachusetts law.
The Cape is still building homes but almost none of them are affordable. The average price of a new home on the Cape is now $1.7 million. 4,700 new homes were built from 2010 to 2019 while the number of year-round houses fell by 3,700.
By 2020, the Cape had a shortage of 27,000 affordable housing units. Over the last 15 years, just 560 affordable housing units were built across the entire Cape. As a result, homeowners and renters on the Cape are increasingly cost burdened: over half of all renters and 37% of homeowners spend more than 30% of their income on housing. In all, 32,000 households on the Cape spend more than 30% of their income on housing.
On the rental side, the numbers are shocking. The average rent for an 1,800 square ft unit is now $4,158, far out of reach for most working class families. Rentals are now priced for wealthy retirees and seasonal visitors, not for working families. Nearly 60 percent of renters on the Cape are worried that they may lose their housing over the next year. And nearly 50% of renters have had to move during the last three years and a quarter have moved two or more times. Finding affordable housing was the number one reason.
Businesses across the Cape site the cost of housing for their workers as their number one challenge. They adjust to the crisis by curtailing hours, shutting down during multiple days or leaving the Cape. The retail sector declined by $80 million in constant dollars from 2010 to 2020. As a result, jobs on the Cape fell by 4.5% from 2016-21 with hospitality, education, health services, retail and government all showing losses. Projections show that health services, hospitality, leisure and retail trade will continue to decline unless the affordable housing crisis is addressed.
Businesses want to expand but instead find themselves contracting. Over one quarter of Cape business say they cannot hire enough workers to meet demand. Food service businesses report that even $30/hour wages are not enough because housing is simply impossible to secure.
Everyday more than 24,000 workers cross the bridges to work on the Cape. Half of them commute more than 50 miles.
The crisis is here. The trends for the entire Cape - for employment, for housing, for business growth - are all negative. Unless action is taken, the quality of life will continue to decline, healthcare and vital services will decline, businesses will increasing leave.
Please join with us to help ensure that the Truro and the Outer Cape meet the challenge with in a deliberate, collaborative and fact-based way.
Quick Facts
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Only 3.9% of the Cape's housing stock is rated affordable, far below the minimum 10% set by the state. That's a shortage of 27,000 homes.
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Every year, an estimated 829 working families leave the Cape.
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The rental vacancy rate on the Cape is .5%, which is considered crisis level for people needing to rent.
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Nearly 60 percent of current renters are worried they may lose their rentals during the next 12 months.
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From 2010 to 2019, the number of year-round homes fell by 4,700.
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Jobs on the Cape have fallen by nearly 5 percent, and the retail sector is down $80 million.
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Today, 24,000 workers cross the bridge to work on the Cape.
VOICES:
"Nauset Regional Middle School teacher Sean Kirouac said the school, which is in Orleans, recently hired a couple of teachers who quickly realized they couldn’t afford to live anywhere nearby. They left.
Kirouac described one colleague who is currently living in an apartment in her parent’s garage and is uncertain of her ability to ever find a place for herself. 'She is really struggling with whether it is feasible for her to stay here,' he said. Losing her “would be devastating to the Nauset community,' he said."
Sean Kirouac, Nauset Regional Middle School Teacher (1)
“( I would like) to provide a little bit of insight from the trenches about the urgency regarding housing.
Last year alone, I lost at least four people because they couldn’t afford to live here, so there’s no doubt there is a crisis.
I don’t know if any of you ever tried recently to go out to dinner on a Monday or Tuesday, but the pickings are slim to none. It’s because of a lack of staff.”
David Troutman, owner, Scargo Cafe, Dennis (2)
Brendan Switzer, a pharmacist technician at Outer Cape Health Services, is searching for a single bedroom for the summer or year-round.
“The moment a listing goes up, I reach out immediately, but it’s usually too late; the place is already rented or there’s some stipulation. . . It feels like I’m just one of thousands of people all looking for the same thing.
I just need a place to rest my head and keep two drawers of clothes and my computer,” he said. His budget of $1,200 a month has made it difficult to find anything, even just a bed.
Anytime I come across something that seems affordable, I realize it’s the price for a week.”
Brendan Switzer, pharmacist technician at Outer Cape Health Services (3)
“We kept inching our budget up more and more until we got to the point where we were eventually considering spending over 50 percent of our income on rent.
We were willing to pay up to $4,000 a month and still couldn’t find a one-bedroom or even a studio.”
James Cerne, Provincetown (4)
Citations
(1) Housing Crisis Hits Schools — and Will Get Worse, Provincetown Independent. 8/19/2023
(2) Housing Could Get $11.4M From County ARPA Pot, Provincetown Independent. 1/11/2023
(3) & (4) Spring Shuffle has Become an Anxious Scramble, Provincetown Independent. 4/4/204